Damn, it comes around quickly. Here’s a refresher on what they were saying last year:
That was the year the Rat made Capital Economics seem bullish. As regular readers know, we don’t call time based on lending, so it’ll still be a few weeks before we draw a line under 2014 and name a winner.
Now look at this year’s list. If a wider spread in the predictions is a sign of significant uncertainty then there’s some serious head-scratching going on as we enter an election year wondering what a potential Labour government has in store and the effects of a mansion tax on the London market, pondering whether a London bubble’s on the point of bursting, what the new stamp duty rules will mean in the medium term and shaking our heads at Mark Carney and the MPC’s wildly conflicting, confusing and unhelpful messages about the future of interest rates.
Office for Budget Responsibilty ↑7.4%
Henry Pryor ↑5%
IHS Global Insight ↑5%
Strutt & Parker ↑5%
JLL (formerly Jones Lang Lasalle) ↑4%
Knight Frank ↑3.5%
The Rat and Mouse ↑3%
Centre for Economics and Business Research ↓0.8%
I’m publishing now even though I’m still waiting for the odd prediction to arrive. If you feel I’ve missed somebody out (if I’ve missed you out), message me on Twitter @theratandmouse and I’ll make additions.
See you later, - B
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