Rat and Mouse
Entries in February 2011
Mon
28
Feb

Victoria Road 2

Another of those data-crunches courtesy of Mouseprice reveals Kensington's Victoria Road as England's most expensive, with an average property price of £6.4m. Kensington & Chelsea was home to 14 of the 20 most expensive streets. More here.

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More in this Category - W8

Just three years after becoming credit crunch poster bank and suffering the ignominy of a bank run, the nationalised Northern Rock is apparently about to announce a 90% mortgage. More here.

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More in this Category - _Other
Fri
25
Feb

Colin Firth crowned nation s ideal neighbour according to Zoopla co uk  Zoopla co uk Blog

No Oscar in the bag yet, but Colin Firth will I'm sure be delighted that he's "the nation's ideal neighbour". According to data by Zoopla, Firth's the celebrity neighbour you'd most like to have (with 15% of a very spread vote), soundly beating (something we'd pay to see) Cheryl Cole (with 9%). Firth, incidentally, lives in Chiswick. The least desired celebrity neighbour? That would be Katie Price, who managed to grab almost 30% of the anti-vote. Incidentally. there's actually the possibility Price might be your neighbour soon. She's on the move. Particulars here, pic below.

Katie Price

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More in this Category - Celebrity homes

Or it will be, if it gets approval next month. It's a proposed underground extension to a £9m house on Templewood Avenue, and it will result in a ninefold increase in the property's underground square footage (not overall square footage, as eye-catchingly suggested here). Still, it's enough - two years work - to seriously worry the neighbours and a local conservation group, who suggest it will create a substantial flood risk in the area.

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More in this Category - NW3

The fox on the Shard [The London News]
The mortgage famine [Citywire]
The austerity timetable [FT]
In the US: are buyers really swayed by vendors' wealth-trappings? [Curbed]
Barratt abandons ftbs [Telegraph]
London's pockets of value [City AM]

The Rat and Mouse - it's about your house

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More in this Category - Linkage
Thu
24
Feb

Last November, our publisher wrote about an interesting test case, before the Supreme Court, which demonstrated what could happen when European human rights law was applied to a landlord's attempt to evict an anti-social or non-paying tenant. (You can catch up, if you like, here.) Today, the Daily Mail - under the slightly more hysterical headline...

Human rights

... picks up on the story, with news of a new ruling as applied to a council tenant in Hounslow. She's apparently been receiving (the equivalent of) £15,000 a year in housing benefit, but hadn't been passing the money on in rent (an argument, if ever we've heard one, for housing benefit to go directly to landlords). She managed to avoid eviction on human rights grounds, and has agreed to pay the £3,536.39 in arrears at £5 a week... in other words over 13 and a half years. Good lack with that.

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More in this Category - Letting

Strand union workhouse

According to the BBC, the Cleveland Street Workhouse Group (of campaigners fighting to save the 18th Century former Strand Union Workshouse from demolition to make way for a residential development) are claiming a move in the right direction after an English Heritage report appears to acknowledge it's historic importance and promise a decision shortly. Expect celebrations outside the property tomorrow night (premature? perhaps, but possibly adding pressure on the authorities to give it its listing). The building is situated nine doors from Dickens' childhood home on Norfolk Street (now Cleveland Street), and it's said to have been the model for the Oliver Twist workhouse. It's also apparently the best  preserved Georgian workhouse in London. For more information, head here. Finally, go here for an interesting Hansard fragment from 1866, in which conditions inside the workhouse are discussed in the Lords.

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More in this Category - W1
Wed
23
Feb

Rankdesk2 4An interesting start-up by LSE fellow Savvas Verdis, Rankdesk ranks London's top ten properties submitted by agents for investment potential (based on its own "RQI Method" parameters - proximity to transport, parking, outdoor space, facilities etc for "Q"uality; price, yield, appreciations etc for "I"nvestment). You can access the top ten for free here, sign up (for free) to access a further 90, and a couple of sample full-length reviews. Paid services include on-demand reviews of properties submitted by you but not yet on the site. Interesting? Definitely... although the RQI methodology looks very like common sense and if you're not asking these questions of properties already you probably shouldn't be thinking about investment. It looks like some investors are already paying attention though, the number one property - a three bedroom place in SW7 - has gone under offer. What's next on the list? This five-bedroom £2.95m terraced house in Holland Park.

Rankdesk2

It's a good idea, and pretty addictive. As someone who doesn't find it easy pronouncing my "r"s, though, I'm worried about that name.

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More in this Category - Letting

Who'd have thought the minutes of a meeting by a bunch of inflation/interest rate geeks would ever be so interesting, but today's publication of the previous MPC meeting has been awaited with some palm-rubbing. And it turns out the hawks (Andrew Sentance and Martin Weale) have recruited another... Spencer Dale. Dale joined Weale in voting for a 0.25% increase; Sentance gunned for 0.5%. There was also evidence that their numbers might swell if Friday's GDP figures show an improving economic outlook. Only a fool would bet against an interest rate rise this year. The Rat and Mouse's best guess? Rates at 2% by Christmas.

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More in this Category - _Other

Fake lettings sites, automatically "scraping" genuine websites for data, are responsible for illegally separating would-be tenants from their deposits, according to this. Overseas clients are particularly at risk. ARLA advice tenants to to demand safety certificates and other address-related documents and send a friend to actually visit the bricks-and-mortar with the landlord before entering into any kind of arrangement.

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More in this Category - Letting
Tue
22
Feb

That's Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, the Colonel's second son, the one who threw some cool parties but appears to have created some uncool controversy for himself after publicly taking a very anti-protest stance. He's only likely to be your landlord, though, if you've a budget that will stretch to almost £10,000 a week, for an 8-bedroom home in Hampstead Garden Suburb. Go here to read about the Gaddafi billions. If you want to be a Gaddafi tenant, go here and view the particulars.

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More in this Category - N2

Cutler & Bond is London's first estate agency specialising in lower ground floor apartments. We know about the problems of lower ground living... lack of light... occasional damp issues... occasional security problems. What about the advantages? According to C&B's enthusiastic Tim Day, lower service charges, the possibility of a little outdoor space and competitive prices.

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More in this Category - Estate agents

According to Rightmove, vendors won't budge on price, despite all common sense,  economic outlook and poor lending conditions, and the result is likely to be an alarmingly painful constipation in the UK property market. More here.

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More in this Category -
Mon
21
Feb

Caan

In 2008 he bought a quarter of the Look4AProperty portal; in 2009 he hooked up with Hitachi Capital to offer higher loan-to-value mortgages through the website; now former Dragon James Caan is apparently going where the money is... super-prime. He's said to be partnering with the Candys, no less, in a £100m venture that will see investment in One Hyde Park-style developments aimed at the internationally wealthy. More here.

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More in this Category -

Rents up 11.5% in Prime London in 2010, expect a further 8% in 2011 [Telegraph]
Religious teacher jailed for mortgage fraud [Express]
Guzumping returns to London [FT]
Houses in eye of economic storm could fall 20% [Guardian]
Guy Ritchie squatters evicted [Telegraph]
Tories and their swimming pools [Sunday Mirror]
Superprime on the up [Bloomberg]
The bankers' bonus boost to London property [Guardian]

The Rat and Mouse - London's property blog, since 2005

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More in this Category - Linkage
Fri
18
Feb

A few big ticket sales are turning London vendors heads, he argues, with the result that agents who urge realistic pricing (wives) are losing out to the big chested braggadocio agents who promise a whirlwind romance (mistresses). Some interesting words of warning:

I have been suggesting that if they want to go with a much higher price they do not sign silly 12 week contracts [no one ever should in my opinion] and at the first hint of the agent realising they’ve ballsed up and trying a price reduction the contract should state they should be able to get out and instruct another agent.

In the end, he says, they almost always come running back.

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More in this Category - Estate agents

How to buy a property with a friend [MoneySupermarket.com]
In the US: A plea to help stop Detroit from falling down [Curbed]
Landowners gives islanders Scottish island... as gift [Press & Journal]
Another look at the housing benefit cuts [Guardian]
Could the Mubaraks be hiding out in London? [Evening Standard]

The Rat and Mouse - London's property blog

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More in this Category - Linkage

After nine months under the new Government, house-building has pretty much ground to a halt. 102,570 homes were built in 2010, the lowest (peacetime) number since 1923. In the last quarter of the year, starts dropped by 11% on the previous quarter, completions by 13% (Government figures). Poor weather has been an issue, but not as serious one as the chaos Eric Pickles quickly unleashed on local planning laws. More recently, the Government announced the New Homes Bonus scheme, which will financially reward councils for homes built. The system of consultation necessary first with local communities, however, remains unclear, and even by the Government's own estimates it won't result in home building on a scale to match previous targets. There's a problem.

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More in this Category - _Other
Thu
17
Feb

New bungalow for lottery scratchcard winners [24dash.com]
Nationwide's fixed rate deals creep up [Mortgage Strategy]
Where will William and Kate live? [ABC News]
The Northern Irish repo crisis [Belfast Telegraph]
Shoreditch... Celebrityville {PropertyTalk Live]

The Rat and Mouse - it's about your house

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More in this Category - Linkage

An interesting Evening Standard piece by Roy Greenslade on the property/financial conundrum facing BBC employees moved north:

Many staff do not wish to rebuild their lives 180 miles away from their current homes. Some, I am sure, are aware that if they do relocate, they will become virtual hostages of the corporation. They will find it financially difficult to move back south - because house prices, most importantly, rise faster in the South-East than in the North-West - and they will find it difficult to transfer to another media job of equal status in Manchester. Why? Because non-BBC jobs will remain in London.

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More in this Category - _Other
Wed
16
Feb
Egypt, before the uprising, was being talked about as an up-and-coming hotspot in the early days of a real estate boom. Now, even the most hardened, risk-neutral foreign property investors are scratching their heads and wondering.

Our publisher looks at the Egyptian real estate boom and wonders, what next?... in his guest column for Citywire.

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More in this Category - _Other

Shapps's "Affordable Rent" programme - wolf in sheep's language [PropertyTalk Live]
Don't blame lending... house prices are the problem [Finance Markets]
Six reasons why an interest rate rise is necessary [Spectator]
Property and the Olympics factor [Independent]

The Rat and Mouse - it's about your house

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More in this Category - Linkage

Here's a new Twitter account demonstrating the dangerous negative power of anonymous online micro-blogging. @hatefoxtons began tweeting a few days ago, and is already stirring up the kind of negative commentary no brand needs. Ignoring, for the time being, whether Foxtons deserves to be singled out like this, it's a good demonstration of how anonymity, unaccountability and the power of reach can spell trouble for a brand.

[via Michael Day]

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More in this Category - Estate agents
Tue
15
Feb

Dear Chancellor

They're new to the general public today but, interestingly, the MPC will have had them before their rate-setting meeting last Thursday. So... the Consumer Prices Index hit 4% in January, up from 3.7% in December, putting it twice the official target. The Retail Price Index - which includes mortgage payments - reached the dreaded 5% mark, ending on 5.1% (from 4.8%). Of course, this is the first report to include the recent VAT rise, but Band of England Governor Mervyn King's tenth letter to the Chancellor (to explain why inflation's overshooting targets so badly) points to the CPI also approaching 5% in the coming months. The pressure for interest rate rises can only increase.

5.5% inflation prediction [February 14, 2011]
Interest rates remain at record 0.5% low [February 10, 2011]

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More in this Category - _Other

We've already had Land Registry figures, now the equally-respected, completion figures courtesy of the Government. It was a rise of 0.5% for December, leaving house prices up 3.8% on the year. The final quarter of the year, however, showed a slight fall, of 0.4%.

Land Registry data in, shall we call time on 2010? Who wins? [January 31, 2011]

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More in this Category - House prices

Jennifer Aniston's bedroom [Take Sunset]
In America... the problems are spreading [New York Times]
In Northern Ireland... landlady fined for hanging "no rent paid" sign on door [Belfast Telegraph]
CEBR turns bear [This is Money]
Young love, first homes, big sacrifices [Telegraph]

The Rat and Mouse - London's property blog

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More in this Category - Linkage

The building, at 34-35 Fitzroy Square, was empty while contractors were involved in a refurbishment. Ironically, it used to be a language school, and Guy Ritchie is said to be converting it into two residential properties. The group of squatters - apparently numbering around 12 - call themselves the Really Free School collective, and you can follow them on Twitter here. Best comment on the whole situation came from one of the contractors:

"It's a real cheek."

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More in this Category - W1
Mon
14
Feb

Philip Shaw, of Investec, predicts 5.5% Retail Price Index inflation shortly. Even more conservative estimates place inflation at twice the Bank's target. Official figures are published tomorrow. The questions for rate-watchers are a) how long does a "temporary shock" have to last before they're no longer temporary? b) how worried are the MPC members about recent economic contractions? More here.

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More in this Category -

So does Grant Shapps know something we don't? I seriously doubt it.

Grant Shapps was busy calling for innovative mortgage products to help young people onto the housing ladder, ahead of this week's "first-time buyer summit". He wants lenders to lend, he wants owning a house to be economically viable, he doesn't want so many people to buy that prices shoot up, And now he wants a Marks & Sparks mortgage. It's want, want, want.

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More in this Category - _Other
Fri
11
Feb

Apparently, four in five pet owners find it hard to secure accommodation. But what's a landlord to do?

According to “The Renting With Pets: A Tenant’s Guide”, tenants should prepare a pet resume, including references and an introductory meeting with the landlord. My understanding is that if the landlord forges a good relationship with the pet then the tenant gets the all clear. This can be difficult though with some animals.

Some pets are just better in interviews than others.

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More in this Category - Letting

Crikey, it's been there less than six years, but Vauxhall's "ski jump" bus station could face demolition, in a plan to build two 40-storey skyscrapers, including a hotel, offices and residential accommodation. More here.

Ski jump

[image by Malc McDonald]

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More in this Category - SW8
Thu
10
Feb

Violence in Stoke Newington [Hackney Gazette]
Battersea Power Station plans approved [Londonist]
Londoners mine for space [Bloomberg]
Starry neighbourhoods [FindaProperty blog]
Squatting victim speaks [Evening Standard]
Keira's new home [Independent]

The Rat and Mouse - London's property blog

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More in this Category -

It was a case of inflation (likely to approach 5% in the coming months) versus growth (in minus figures by the last count). Few people expected a rate rise today, but it will be interesting, when the minutes are eventually published, to find out whether there's been anything of a swing from dove to hawk.

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More in this Category - _Other

Amongst the fall out, this:

Calling Portas 'belligerent and ill informed', [estate agency consultant Richard Rawlings] said: "I was approached by Mary Portas' producer when they were researching the show. It was clear then that Mary's views on customer service with buyers were extremely naive. This was borne out in the show with her incesssant focus on viewings and in particular, the apparent need to be uber-informed about the minutest detail. 

"She completely ignored the most important aspect of customer service to the paying client, the seller, and the fact that successful agents focus on getting numbers around property, not taking up a buyer's time by explaining how the boiler works. 

"I spent about an hour sharing some really meaty and radical customer service initiatives with Mary Portas's producter, none of which they chose to use. Indeed, the consultant to the show was shown as Peter Cross. Who is he and what does he know about agency? Nothing. He's her partner in retail consultancy.

Interesting, and a common error... the assumption that the estate agent is somehow there to serve the buyer. The vendor, of course, pays the agent, and while it's in the vendor's best interests to ensure his agent isn't pissing buyers off, you can't expect silver service from an agent every time you take a casual interest in a property.

For more about Richard Rawlings, click here.

There's some debate about whether the agency featured - London's well-established Martyn Gerrard - came away well or badly. Some might think they were crazy to even contemplate getting. Greene & Co did well out of a reality TV show a few (quite a few) years ago (anyone remember that?). But Portas's shows are different... they're set up around a premise that something's badly wrong. What do you think?

The Modern Estate Agent has an interesting perspective here.

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More in this Category - Estate agents
Wed
09
Feb

Mary Portas: Secret Shopper, tonight, at 9pm on Channel 4.

Estate agents are caught with their trousers down as they pull out all the oldest tricks in the house-selling book; multiple viewings, misleading particulars and lack of specialist knowledge are among the long list of things that drive us up the wall.

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More in this Category - Estate agents

Of all the data and the indicators, the hocus and the pocus, quoted in the name of predicting residential house price movements, one of the most interesting is the Zoopla Auction Price Index. Created as a percentage of the conventional market, it’s earning its salt as a leading indicator for house price moves since retrospective application demonstrated how, at the close of 2008, it dropped to 40%, a few months before the bottom fell out of the wider market. It’s pretty much lead the main indices since.

Our publisher asks why auction prices might provide a leading indicator of house prices at large, and whether auctions are a way of bagging property's at tomorrow's prices, today... in his guest column for Citywire.

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More in this Category - _Other

Government plans to limit work visas to graduate level foreign workers means that estate agency is on the official banned list. Estate Agent Today asks, when did you last come across a non-EU estate agent? However, I wonder about those Chinese and Hindi speakers, understandably valued by some central London agents.

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More in this Category - Estate agents
Tue
08
Feb

Don't be surprised, says Marsh & Parson's Peter Rollings, by London's latest historic residential property highs.

London you see is unlike any other market in the UK and the commentators who lump it in to the wider 'UK property market' do so at their peril. The latest figures from Land Registry (which I have advocated for a long time are the only ones worth looking at), bear out what I am saying with the best and most popular parts of our capital showing the highest gains.The only surprise in my mind is why others are so surprised.

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More in this Category - House prices

Masked robber hits north Dorset estate agents [Bournemouth Echo]
Debt towers [Observer]
They just can't get it up [Curbed]
Cash purchases the rage in London [Safestore.co.uk]
Low pound attracts Chinese to London property [Evening Standard]

The Rat and Mouse - it's about your house

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More in this Category - Linkage
Mon
07
Feb

A north west London estate agency has put its own slant on customer service with an extraordinary email sent to a buyer who complained at his treatment after purchasing a property. According to the Standard, the buyer - a BBC journalist - received a long email from the agency's director, in which he was called "obnoxious", and told that his "arrogance" was "laughable". And in response to a claim from the buyer that he regretted the purchase:

"I have to say we regret you purchasing this property as well."

Given the current market, that's probably an exaggeration, but in other respects the situation looks a little complex. The buyer appears to be complaining to the agent about a mattress and storage heater left behind in the property... remarking that he hurt his toe moving the latter. It's a strange story, even stranger that it's considered "news" by the Standard. Is it really the agent's job to prepare the property for the buyer? No matter, the agency seems to be getting a bit of a kicking in the comments section. It's the buyer who mentions the possibility of taking legal action; if I was the Standard, I'd be more wary of the agents.

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More in this Category - Estate agents

Award for the most eye-catching headline of the morning goes to the Sun.

Sun

It's the story of two "gypsies", their twelve kids, one five-bedroom £1.2m Muswell Hill semi, Haringey Council and some very angry neighbours, collapsed ceilings, used toilet rolls used as weapons, and kids wandering naked in the street. There's a dossier on the family, which appears to have been passed on to the Sun by someone from the council, which may (should) result in repercussions. The neighbours have formed a special neighbourhood watch team charged solely with monitoring the family. The Sun article is a lesson in journalistic provocation ("Children run amok everywhere, riding shiny new bikes around the corridors", "The chain-smoking couple", "Tanya, who lives off benefits"), but i wouldn't want to live next-door to them. The final word, however, goes to the neighbour who commented thus:

"A house like that one should be worth around £1.2million. But with the state it's in at the moment, it might only be worth £700,000."

Because this is, after all, London.

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More in this Category - N10
Fri
04
Feb

Where Rightmove stores your stuff [Rightmove blog]
On a prefab future [Independent]
The new Zoopla property archive [Zoopla blog]
April's going to be shit [Evening Standard]

The Rat and Mouse - London's property blog

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More in this Category - Linkage

doll_s_house.jpg

One of the most innovative British theatre companies - Theatre Delicatessen - is looking for a new performance space. They've performed in a five-floor Knightsbridge office block, staged The Winter's Tale in the grand office development Cavendish Gate (thanks to The Property Merchant Group) and tomorrow's your last chance to catch A Doll's House in the former Uzbekistan Airways offices in Picton Place (arranged courtesy of Great Portland Estates). Now, they're looking for new venues for their "pop-up theatre". If you're a property developer with a vacant property, perhaps six to 18 months away from starting development, and wouldn't mind profiting from the good PR (and warm glow) that comes from supporting the arts first read this, and then get in touch with Roland by email or on 07713 486420 to talk about collaborating.

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More in this Category - _Other

An unexpected rise of 0.8% in January house prices, reported by HBOS, has messed up the story a little. As always, though, it makes more sense to take the result in the context of the two months before, which knocked 2.4% off the index, so across the three months we're still 1.6% down across three months. Comparing those three months to the same last year, the index is 2.4% in the red, the most dramatic fall since October 2009.

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More in this Category - House prices
Thu
03
Feb

House prices... how much further will they fall? [Money Week]
Decoding archispeak [Curbed]
Recession? Nobody told London house prices [Evening Standard]
Cheryl Cole's planned move to London [PopDash]
The new crime map and house prices [Ealing Gazette]

Ealing.jpg

The Rat and Mouse - it's about your house

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More in this Category - Linkage

The Modern Estate Agent likes clear contact details and photos of staff. But isn't so sure about this:

joke.jpg

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More in this Category - Estate agents
Wed
02
Feb

I only didn't mention Private Finance's Melanie Bien by name in the title because it seemed unfair to suggest this was a two-sided hemline spat, and thus give the impression that two professional women were spatting over clothes when the subject should have been mortgages. The spat was pretty one-sided. This is how Bien began her day:

Bien1.jpg

The show was BBC Breakfast. And Allsopp was watching:

Allsopp1.jpg

Unfortunate. And the curse of new media... the ease with which it's possible to throw personal comments into the digital soup and forget they're likely to reemerge on somebody's spoon:

Bien2.jpg

By mid-day, #hemlinegate wasn't trending, but it did have a couple of mentions:

hemlinegate.jpg

But now - it's made the mortgage news. All-in-all, not Kirstie's finest hour. #hardtotakeherseriously

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More in this Category - Property online

The 'Equity Support Scheme', a mortgage disguised as a self-help group, is a product aimed at existing (Lloyds Group) borrowers in negative equity who need to move. It makes their mortgage portable, by allowing them to use any savings they might have (and so immediately disqualifying 43% of them according to Lloyds’ own data) to meet a 5% deposit requirement on the new property, and to move their negative equity (up to 25% of the value of the new property) over. In other words… it’s potentially a 120% mortgage.

Our publisher looks at Lloyds' new negative equity mortgage and asks what its launch implies about the medium-term future of the market, in his guest column for Citywire.

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More in this Category - House prices

An interesting chat, between Nationwide's chief economist and Bloomberg's Maryam Nemazoo, here.

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More in this Category - House prices
Tue
01
Feb

Asked what was the dodgiest project on Grand Designs, Kevin McCloud has said:

A houseboat in Kent. The owners had no mooring, no architect and designed it with what they found rather than what they looked for. Given it was assembled from bits of rubbish it looked surprisingly alright but it wasn’t architecture. It wasn’t very uplifting. The owner did a little drawing on an envelope and those were the plans. Some bits of it were good but we won’t be doing another one of those on the programme any time soon. It wasn’t an episode of Grand Designs, it was a floating episode of Scrapheap Challenge.

The boat is said to have washed up at Southend-on-Sea this morning. (Photo here.) For more on the background, go here.

houseboat.jpg

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More in this Category - Property TV

It's a drop, less than expected, but a drop nonetheless of 0.1%. It leaves the average house price down 1.1% on the year.

Land Register data in, shall we call time on 2010? Who wins? [January 31, 2011]
Market report - Hometrack [January 27, 2011]

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More in this Category - House prices

 


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